The Monday Outlook
Trump's Economy After 100 Days
The economy was top of mind when voters returned President Donald Trump to the White House on promises to lower inflation and restore American jobs. But 100 days into his second term, consumer sentiment is and polling shows a in Americans’ trust in his economic vision. This week's Monday Outlook gathers UChicago economists and political scientists who can discuss the economic consequences of the Trump administration’s policies, including tariffs, government layoffs, and funding cuts for research and key social programs. As always, reporters can find scholars on any topic through our page and on Twitter. If you are on deadline and need to speak to someone, contact Alexia Elejalde-Ruiz, associate director of media relations, via email at [email protected].
RISK OF ECONOMIC DAMAGE
is an economist and director of the . He can discuss the local and national effects of the Trump administration’s tariffs as well as the knock-on economic impacts of funding cuts to research and development in the US. |
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A TRADE WAR WITH CHINA
is a political scientist, expert on the political economy of China, and author of “.” the opportunity a trade war with the US could present to China, and can comment on China's current strategy for dealing with the Trump administration's tariffs. |
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MEDICAL RESEARCH AMID CUTS AT NIH
Director of UChicago Medicine’s Sexual Wellness Clinic, is an expert on infectious disease focused on STIs, HIV, and LGBTQ health. the dire impact NIH cuts have had on clinical trials across the United States, and can speak to the scale of medical research being delayed or cancelled entirely. |
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ENTITLEMENT CUTS
researches poverty and inequality, tax policy, and government safety net programs such as unemployment insurance, food stamps, and Medicaid. He’s discussed Americans’ economic welfare since the pandemic and increasing income inequality. Meyer can explain how entitlement cuts would affect Americans at all income levels. |
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HEAD START PROGRAMS
is a developmental psychologist who directs the and co-directs the . She can discuss the importance of Head Start for low-income students, and what cutting those programs would mean for the well-being of children and their families. |
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UNCERTAINTY AND CONSUMER DEMAND
is the director of the . He’s discussed ‘,’ as well as the possibility that prices could remain permanently high, . Dube can comment on changes in consumer demand as a result of economic uncertainty. |
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IMPACT OF DOGE
is a microeconomist who has written on . whether DOGE will have any meaningful impact on waste in the federal government. Prendergast can speak about why eliminating government inefficiency is difficult to do without harming vital services. |
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THE FUTURE OF MANUFACTURING
is a labor and health economist studying the causes and consequences of long-term unemployment. the reality of reshoring and whether tariffs will actually bring manufacturing jobs back to the United States. He can speak to the productivity of tariffs, and the possible future of American manufacturing. |
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THREATS TO MEDICAID
researches at the intersections of health, labor, and policy. His wide-ranging work has delved into the connections between Medicaid expansion and perinatal mental health, and the Affordable Care Act’s impacts on U.S. birth rates. He can discuss the potential consequences of the GOP’s proposed . |
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DEVELOPING ECONOMIES WITHOUT USAID
is a leading expert on political violence, conflict, and violent extremism. Prior to joining UChicago, she led research and program development related to conflict and fragility at Mercy Corps. Wolfe can discuss and for the economies of the developing world. |
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